Proshares Ultra Silver Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 28.52
| AGQ Etf | USD 34.02 3.86 10.19% |
Closest to current price ProShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
ProShares |
ProShares Ultra Target Price Odds to finish below 28.52
The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 28.52 or more in 90 days |
| 34.02 | 90 days | 28.52 | about 54.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares Ultra to drop to $ 28.52 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.67 (This ProShares Ultra Silver probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ProShares Ultra Silver price to stay between $ 28.52 and its current price of $34.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.89 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.78 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ProShares Ultra will likely underperform. Additionally ProShares Ultra Silver has an alpha of 0.5845, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ProShares Ultra Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ProShares Ultra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Ultra Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Ultra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ProShares Ultra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares Ultra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares Ultra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares Ultra Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares Ultra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
ProShares Ultra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares Ultra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares Ultra Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ProShares Ultra appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Gold About to Hit 2,500 ETFs to Play | |
| ProShares Ultra Silver generated-5.0 ten year return of -5.0% | |
| This fund holds 136.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
ProShares Ultra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ProShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ProShares Ultra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProShares Ultra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
ProShares Ultra Technical Analysis
ProShares Ultra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProShares Ultra Silver. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ProShares Ultra Predictive Forecast Models
ProShares Ultra's time-series forecasting models is one of many ProShares Ultra's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProShares Ultra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ProShares Ultra Silver
Checking the ongoing alerts about ProShares Ultra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProShares Ultra Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ProShares Ultra appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Gold About to Hit 2,500 ETFs to Play | |
| ProShares Ultra Silver generated-5.0 ten year return of -5.0% | |
| This fund holds 136.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out ProShares Ultra Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Ultra Correlation, ProShares Ultra Hype Analysis, ProShares Ultra Volatility, ProShares Ultra History as well as ProShares Ultra Performance. Note that the ProShares Ultra Silver information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ProShares Ultra's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
The market value of ProShares Ultra Silver is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Ultra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Ultra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Ultra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Ultra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Ultra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Ultra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Ultra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.