Arlington Asset Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 12.76

AI -- USA Stock  

USD 10.18  0.05  0.49%

Arlington Asset probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Arlington Asset Investment Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Arlington Asset time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Arlington Asset odds to be computed. Check also Arlington Asset Backtesting, Arlington Asset Valuation, Arlington Asset Correlation, Arlington Asset Hype Analysis, Arlington Asset Volatility, Arlington Asset History as well as Arlington Asset Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Arlington Asset Target Price Odds to finish below 12.76

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 12.76  after 30 days
 10.18 30 days 12.76  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Arlington Asset to stay under $ 12.76  after 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Arlington Asset Investment Corp probability density function shows the probability of Arlington Asset Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Arlington Asset Inve price to stay between its current price of $ 10.18  and $ 12.76  at the end of the 30-day period is about 74.94%.
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, Arlington Asset has beta of 0.0 . This suggests unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and Arlington Asset are completely uncorrelated. Additionally Arlington Asset Investment CorpIt does not look like Arlington Asset alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
 Arlington Asset Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00
β
Beta against DOW=0.00
σ
Overall volatility
=0.14
Ir
Information ratio =0.00

Arlington Asset Alerts

Arlington Asset Alerts and Suggestions
Arlington Asset Inve has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated yearly revenue of 26.64 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (30.38 M) with gross profit of 75.61 M.
On June 28, 2018 Arlington Asset paid $ 0.375 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globalexportlines.com: Switching Stocks Arlington Asset Investment Corp., , Tailored Brands, Inc.,
Check also Arlington Asset Backtesting, Arlington Asset Valuation, Arlington Asset Correlation, Arlington Asset Hype Analysis, Arlington Asset Volatility, Arlington Asset History as well as Arlington Asset Performance. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.