Air Liquide Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 25.48

AIQUY Stock  USD 39.69  0.30  0.76%   
Air Liquide's future price is the expected price of Air Liquide instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Air Liquide SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Air Liquide Backtesting, Air Liquide Valuation, Air Liquide Correlation, Air Liquide Hype Analysis, Air Liquide Volatility, Air Liquide History as well as Air Liquide Performance.
  
Please specify Air Liquide's target price for which you would like Air Liquide odds to be computed.

Air Liquide Target Price Odds to finish below 25.48

The tendency of Air Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 25.48  or more in 90 days
 39.69 90 days 25.48 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Air Liquide to drop to $ 25.48  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Air Liquide SA probability density function shows the probability of Air Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Air Liquide SA price to stay between $ 25.48  and its current price of $39.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Air Liquide has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Air Liquide average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Air Liquide SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Air Liquide SA has an alpha of 0.0244, implying that it can generate a 0.0244 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Air Liquide Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Air Liquide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Liquide SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Liquide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.0839.6941.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.9039.5141.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.4540.0641.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.8840.4542.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air Liquide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air Liquide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air Liquide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Air Liquide SA.

Air Liquide Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Air Liquide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Air Liquide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Air Liquide SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Air Liquide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.65
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio 0

Air Liquide Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Air Liquide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Air Liquide SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 10.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Air Liquide SA has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air Liquide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air Liquide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air Liquide SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air Liquide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Air Liquide Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Air Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Air Liquide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Liquide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B

Air Liquide Technical Analysis

Air Liquide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Air Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Air Liquide SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Air Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Air Liquide Predictive Forecast Models

Air Liquide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Air Liquide's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Air Liquide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Air Liquide SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Air Liquide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Air Liquide SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 10.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Air Liquide SA has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air Liquide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air Liquide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air Liquide SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air Liquide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Air Liquide Backtesting, Air Liquide Valuation, Air Liquide Correlation, Air Liquide Hype Analysis, Air Liquide Volatility, Air Liquide History as well as Air Liquide Performance.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Air Liquide's price analysis, check to measure Air Liquide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Liquide is operating at the current time. Most of Air Liquide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Liquide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Liquide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Liquide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Liquide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Liquide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Liquide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.