APARTMINV MGMT (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 35.91

AIV Stock  EUR 7.45  0.15  2.05%   
APARTMINV MGMT's future price is the expected price of APARTMINV MGMT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of APARTMINV MGMT A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out APARTMINV MGMT Backtesting, APARTMINV MGMT Valuation, APARTMINV MGMT Correlation, APARTMINV MGMT Hype Analysis, APARTMINV MGMT Volatility, APARTMINV MGMT History as well as APARTMINV MGMT Performance.
  
Please specify APARTMINV MGMT's target price for which you would like APARTMINV MGMT odds to be computed.

APARTMINV MGMT Target Price Odds to finish below 35.91

The tendency of APARTMINV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 35.91  after 90 days
 7.45 90 days 35.91 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of APARTMINV MGMT to stay under € 35.91  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This APARTMINV MGMT A probability density function shows the probability of APARTMINV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of APARTMINV MGMT A price to stay between its current price of € 7.45  and € 35.91  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon APARTMINV MGMT has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, APARTMINV MGMT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding APARTMINV MGMT A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally APARTMINV MGMT A has an alpha of 0.0552, implying that it can generate a 0.0552 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   APARTMINV MGMT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for APARTMINV MGMT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APARTMINV MGMT A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of APARTMINV MGMT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.917.458.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.686.227.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.137.689.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.267.407.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as APARTMINV MGMT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against APARTMINV MGMT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, APARTMINV MGMT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in APARTMINV MGMT A.

APARTMINV MGMT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. APARTMINV MGMT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the APARTMINV MGMT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold APARTMINV MGMT A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of APARTMINV MGMT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

APARTMINV MGMT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of APARTMINV MGMT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for APARTMINV MGMT A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APARTMINV MGMT A has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 3.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 158.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. APARTMINV MGMT A has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist APARTMINV MGMT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, APARTMINV MGMT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like APARTMINV MGMT A sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for APARTMINV to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about APARTMINV MGMT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of APARTMINV MGMT shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

APARTMINV MGMT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of APARTMINV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential APARTMINV MGMT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. APARTMINV MGMT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float109.3 M

APARTMINV MGMT Technical Analysis

APARTMINV MGMT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APARTMINV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of APARTMINV MGMT A. In general, you should focus on analyzing APARTMINV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

APARTMINV MGMT Predictive Forecast Models

APARTMINV MGMT's time-series forecasting models is one of many APARTMINV MGMT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary APARTMINV MGMT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about APARTMINV MGMT A

Checking the ongoing alerts about APARTMINV MGMT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for APARTMINV MGMT A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APARTMINV MGMT A has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 3.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 158.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. APARTMINV MGMT A has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist APARTMINV MGMT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, APARTMINV MGMT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like APARTMINV MGMT A sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for APARTMINV to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about APARTMINV MGMT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of APARTMINV MGMT shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out APARTMINV MGMT Backtesting, APARTMINV MGMT Valuation, APARTMINV MGMT Correlation, APARTMINV MGMT Hype Analysis, APARTMINV MGMT Volatility, APARTMINV MGMT History as well as APARTMINV MGMT Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for APARTMINV Stock analysis

When running APARTMINV MGMT's price analysis, check to measure APARTMINV MGMT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy APARTMINV MGMT is operating at the current time. Most of APARTMINV MGMT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of APARTMINV MGMT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move APARTMINV MGMT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of APARTMINV MGMT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Please note, there is a significant difference between APARTMINV MGMT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if APARTMINV MGMT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APARTMINV MGMT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.