Akr Corporindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4400.0
| AKRA Stock | IDR 1,795 5.00 0.28% |
Akr |
Akr Corporindo Target Price Odds to finish below 4400.0
The tendency of Akr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4,400 after 90 days |
| 1,795 | 90 days | 4,400 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akr Corporindo to stay under 4,400 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Akr Corporindo Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Akr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akr Corporindo Tbk price to stay between its current price of 1,795 and 4,400 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akr Corporindo has a beta of 0.1. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Akr Corporindo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Akr Corporindo Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Akr Corporindo Tbk has an alpha of 0.1862, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Akr Corporindo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akr Corporindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akr Corporindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akr Corporindo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Akr Corporindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akr Corporindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akr Corporindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akr Corporindo Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akr Corporindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 83.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Akr Corporindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akr Corporindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akr Corporindo Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Akr Corporindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akr Corporindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akr Corporindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 T |
Akr Corporindo Technical Analysis
Akr Corporindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akr Corporindo Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akr Corporindo Predictive Forecast Models
Akr Corporindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akr Corporindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akr Corporindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akr Corporindo Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akr Corporindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akr Corporindo Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Akr Corporindo Backtesting, Akr Corporindo Valuation, Akr Corporindo Correlation, Akr Corporindo Hype Analysis, Akr Corporindo Volatility, Akr Corporindo History as well as Akr Corporindo Performance. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Akr Stock analysis
When running Akr Corporindo's price analysis, check to measure Akr Corporindo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Akr Corporindo is operating at the current time. Most of Akr Corporindo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Akr Corporindo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Akr Corporindo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Akr Corporindo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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