Sapmer (France) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.4
| ALMER Stock | EUR 6.80 0.05 0.74% |
Sapmer |
Sapmer Target Price Odds to finish over 22.4
The tendency of Sapmer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 22.40 or more in 90 days |
| 6.80 | 90 days | 22.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sapmer to move over € 22.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sapmer probability density function shows the probability of Sapmer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sapmer price to stay between its current price of € 6.80 and € 22.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sapmer has a beta of 0.85. This suggests Sapmer market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Sapmer is expected to follow. Additionally Sapmer has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Sapmer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sapmer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sapmer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sapmer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sapmer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sapmer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sapmer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sapmer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sapmer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Sapmer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sapmer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sapmer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sapmer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sapmer has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sapmer has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 147.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.17 M. |
Sapmer Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sapmer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sapmer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sapmer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 M |
Sapmer Technical Analysis
Sapmer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sapmer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sapmer. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sapmer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sapmer Predictive Forecast Models
Sapmer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sapmer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sapmer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sapmer
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sapmer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sapmer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sapmer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sapmer has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sapmer has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 147.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.17 M. |
Check out Sapmer Backtesting, Sapmer Valuation, Sapmer Correlation, Sapmer Hype Analysis, Sapmer Volatility, Sapmer History as well as Sapmer Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Sapmer Stock analysis
When running Sapmer's price analysis, check to measure Sapmer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sapmer is operating at the current time. Most of Sapmer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sapmer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sapmer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sapmer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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