Amc Entertainment Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.05

AMC Stock  USD 4.34  0.27  6.63%   
AMC Entertainment's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on AMC Entertainment Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of AMC Entertainment based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in AMC Entertainment Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $4.5 is a CALL option contract on AMC Entertainment's common stock with a strick price of 4.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:57:38 for $0.03 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.02, and an ask price of $0.03. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 95.7. View All AMC options

Closest to current price AMC long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

AMC Entertainment's future price is the expected price of AMC Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AMC Entertainment Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AMC Entertainment Backtesting, AMC Entertainment Valuation, AMC Entertainment Correlation, AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis, AMC Entertainment Volatility, AMC Entertainment History as well as AMC Entertainment Performance.
  
The current year's Price Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to -2.46. In addition to that, Price To Sales Ratio is expected to decline to 0.20. Please specify AMC Entertainment's target price for which you would like AMC Entertainment odds to be computed.

AMC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 14.05

The tendency of AMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.05  or more in 90 days
 4.34 90 days 14.05 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMC Entertainment to move over $ 14.05  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AMC Entertainment Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMC Entertainment price to stay between its current price of $ 4.34  and $ 14.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.16 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.15 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AMC Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally AMC Entertainment Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   AMC Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AMC Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMC Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMC Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.034.348.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.748.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.014.338.64
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.7810.7511.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMC Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMC Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMC Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMC Entertainment.

AMC Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMC Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMC Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMC Entertainment Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMC Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.82
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

AMC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMC Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMC Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AMC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AMC Entertainment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 9.14 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist AMC Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMC Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMC Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMC Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.81 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (396.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.5 M.
AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 631.5 M in cash with (215.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33.
Latest headline from ajc.com: Trump Media, Reddit surge despite questionable profit prospects, taking on the meme stock mantle

AMC Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding167.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments911.4 M

AMC Entertainment Technical Analysis

AMC Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMC Entertainment Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AMC Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

AMC Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMC Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMC Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AMC Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about AMC Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMC Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AMC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AMC Entertainment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 9.14 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist AMC Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMC Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMC Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMC Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.81 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (396.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.5 M.
AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 631.5 M in cash with (215.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33.
Latest headline from ajc.com: Trump Media, Reddit surge despite questionable profit prospects, taking on the meme stock mantle
When determining whether AMC Entertainment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AMC Entertainment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Amc Entertainment Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Amc Entertainment Holdings Stock:

Complementary Tools for AMC Stock analysis

When running AMC Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure AMC Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMC Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of AMC Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMC Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMC Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMC Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Is AMC Entertainment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMC Entertainment. If investors know AMC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMC Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.10)
Revenue Per Share
28.707
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.115
Return On Assets
0.0023
The market value of AMC Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMC Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMC Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMC Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMC Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMC Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMC Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMC Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.