Amada Co Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 43.75

AMDLY Stock  USD 48.97  2.22  4.75%   
Amada's future price is the expected price of Amada instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amada Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amada Backtesting, Amada Valuation, Amada Correlation, Amada Hype Analysis, Amada Volatility, Amada History as well as Amada Performance.
  
Please specify Amada's target price for which you would like Amada odds to be computed.

Amada Target Price Odds to finish below 43.75

The tendency of Amada OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 43.75  or more in 90 days
 48.97 90 days 43.75 
about 71.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amada to drop to $ 43.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.51 (This Amada Co probability density function shows the probability of Amada OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amada price to stay between $ 43.75  and its current price of $48.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amada has a beta of 0.0419. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amada average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amada Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amada Co has an alpha of 0.283, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amada Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amada

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amada's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.4348.9750.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9744.5153.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.7250.2751.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.4945.7048.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amada. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amada's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amada's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amada.

Amada Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amada is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amada's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amada Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amada within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.28
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Amada Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amada for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Amada Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amada OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amada's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amada's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid11.1 B
Shares Float86.8 M

Amada Technical Analysis

Amada's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amada OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amada Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amada OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amada Predictive Forecast Models

Amada's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amada's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amada's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amada

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amada for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check out Amada Backtesting, Amada Valuation, Amada Correlation, Amada Hype Analysis, Amada Volatility, Amada History as well as Amada Performance.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for Amada OTC Stock analysis

When running Amada's price analysis, check to measure Amada's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amada is operating at the current time. Most of Amada's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amada's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amada's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amada to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amada's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amada is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amada's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.