Ampio Pharm Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.98
| AMPEDelisted Stock | USD 0.25 0.05 16.67% |
Ampio |
Ampio Pharm Target Price Odds to finish below 2.98
The tendency of Ampio Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.98 after 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 2.98 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ampio Pharm to stay under $ 2.98 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ampio Pharm probability density function shows the probability of Ampio Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ampio Pharm price to stay between its current price of $ 0.25 and $ 2.98 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.31 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ampio Pharm will likely underperform. Additionally Ampio Pharm has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Ampio Pharm Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ampio Pharm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ampio Pharm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ampio Pharm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ampio Pharm Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ampio Pharm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ampio Pharm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ampio Pharm, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ampio Pharm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -2.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Ampio Pharm Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ampio Pharm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ampio Pharm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ampio Pharm generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ampio Pharm has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ampio Pharm has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ampio Pharm has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (8.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Ampio Pharm currently holds about 23.25 M in cash with (8.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. |
Ampio Pharm Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ampio Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ampio Pharm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampio Pharm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 810.1 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Ampio Pharm Technical Analysis
Ampio Pharm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ampio Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ampio Pharm. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ampio Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ampio Pharm Predictive Forecast Models
Ampio Pharm's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ampio Pharm's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ampio Pharm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ampio Pharm
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ampio Pharm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ampio Pharm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ampio Pharm generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ampio Pharm has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ampio Pharm has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ampio Pharm has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (8.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Ampio Pharm currently holds about 23.25 M in cash with (8.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. |
Check out Ampio Pharm Backtesting, Ampio Pharm Valuation, Ampio Pharm Correlation, Ampio Pharm Hype Analysis, Ampio Pharm Volatility, Ampio Pharm History as well as Ampio Pharm Performance. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in Ampio Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Ampio Pharm check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ampio Pharm's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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