Acciona (Spain) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 71.52
| ANA Stock | EUR 107.40 1.30 1.20% |
Acciona |
Acciona Target Price Odds to finish over 71.52
The tendency of Acciona Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 71.52 in 90 days |
| 107.40 | 90 days | 71.52 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acciona to stay above € 71.52 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Acciona probability density function shows the probability of Acciona Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acciona price to stay between € 71.52 and its current price of €107.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Acciona has a beta of 0.0834. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acciona average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acciona will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acciona has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Acciona Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acciona
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acciona. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acciona's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acciona Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acciona is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acciona's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acciona, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acciona within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Acciona Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acciona for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acciona can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acciona generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 4.4 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.08, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Acciona has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Acciona until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Acciona's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Acciona sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Acciona to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Acciona's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Acciona shares are held by company insiders |
Acciona Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acciona Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acciona's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acciona's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Acciona Technical Analysis
Acciona's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acciona Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acciona. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acciona Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acciona Predictive Forecast Models
Acciona's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acciona's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acciona's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acciona
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acciona for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acciona help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acciona generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 4.4 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.08, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Acciona has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Acciona until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Acciona's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Acciona sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Acciona to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Acciona's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Acciona shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Acciona Backtesting, Acciona Valuation, Acciona Correlation, Acciona Hype Analysis, Acciona Volatility, Acciona History as well as Acciona Performance. Note that the Acciona information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Acciona's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Acciona Stock analysis
When running Acciona's price analysis, check to measure Acciona's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acciona is operating at the current time. Most of Acciona's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acciona's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acciona's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acciona to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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