Aptiv Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 82.19

APTV Stock  USD 78.64  2.05  2.68%   
Aptiv PLC's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Aptiv PLC. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Aptiv PLC based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Aptiv PLC over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $77.5 is a CALL option contract on Aptiv PLC's common stock with a strick price of 77.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 10:57:23 for $2.6 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.95, and an ask price of $3.2. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 30.76. View All Aptiv options

Closest to current price Aptiv long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Aptiv PLC's future price is the expected price of Aptiv PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aptiv PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aptiv PLC Backtesting, Aptiv PLC Valuation, Aptiv PLC Correlation, Aptiv PLC Hype Analysis, Aptiv PLC Volatility, Aptiv PLC History as well as Aptiv PLC Performance.
For more information on how to buy Aptiv Stock please use our How to Invest in Aptiv PLC guide.
  
At this time, Aptiv PLC's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to climb to 0.07 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.04 in 2024. Please specify Aptiv PLC's target price for which you would like Aptiv PLC odds to be computed.

Aptiv PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 82.19

The tendency of Aptiv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 82.19  or more in 90 days
 78.64 90 days 82.19 
about 42.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aptiv PLC to move over $ 82.19  or more in 90 days from now is about 42.42 (This Aptiv PLC probability density function shows the probability of Aptiv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aptiv PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 78.64  and $ 82.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aptiv PLC will likely underperform. Additionally Aptiv PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Aptiv PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aptiv PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptiv PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aptiv PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.6578.6880.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.78100.96102.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.8875.9177.94
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
117.20128.79142.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aptiv PLC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aptiv PLC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aptiv PLC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aptiv PLC.

Aptiv PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aptiv PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aptiv PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aptiv PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aptiv PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.45
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.20
σ
Overall volatility
3.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Aptiv PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aptiv PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aptiv PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aptiv PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investorplace.com: Disposition of 775 shares by Kevin Clark of Aptiv PLC subject to Rule 16b-3

Aptiv PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aptiv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aptiv PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aptiv PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding282.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Aptiv PLC Technical Analysis

Aptiv PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aptiv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aptiv PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aptiv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aptiv PLC Predictive Forecast Models

Aptiv PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aptiv PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aptiv PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aptiv PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aptiv PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aptiv PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aptiv PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investorplace.com: Disposition of 775 shares by Kevin Clark of Aptiv PLC subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Aptiv PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aptiv PLC's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aptiv PLC's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aptiv Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running Aptiv PLC's price analysis, check to measure Aptiv PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aptiv PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Aptiv PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aptiv PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aptiv PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aptiv PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aptiv PLC's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aptiv PLC. If investors know Aptiv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aptiv PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.744
Earnings Share
10.39
Revenue Per Share
72.407
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Return On Assets
0.0497
The market value of Aptiv PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aptiv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aptiv PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aptiv PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aptiv PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aptiv PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aptiv PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aptiv PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aptiv PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.