Asml Holding Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 248.99

ASML Stock  USD 974.01  2.71  0.28%   
ASML Holding's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ASML Holding NV. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ASML Holding based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ASML Holding NV over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $975.0 is a CALL option contract on ASML Holding's common stock with a strick price of 975.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:58:44 for $6.2 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $5.4, and an ask price of $6.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 32.79. View All ASML options

Closest to current price ASML long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

ASML Holding's future price is the expected price of ASML Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ASML Holding NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ASML Holding Backtesting, ASML Holding Valuation, ASML Holding Correlation, ASML Holding Hype Analysis, ASML Holding Volatility, ASML Holding History as well as ASML Holding Performance.
  
At this time, ASML Holding's Price To Book Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to rise to 52.02 this year, although the value of Price Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to 17.59. Please specify ASML Holding's target price for which you would like ASML Holding odds to be computed.

ASML Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 248.99

The tendency of ASML Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 248.99  in 90 days
 974.01 90 days 248.99 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASML Holding to stay above $ 248.99  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ASML Holding NV probability density function shows the probability of ASML Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASML Holding NV price to stay between $ 248.99  and its current price of $974.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.99 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ASML Holding will likely underperform. Additionally ASML Holding NV has an alpha of 0.1572, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ASML Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ASML Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASML Holding NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ASML Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
968.11970.481,071
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
912.56914.931,071
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
945.23947.60949.98
Details
41 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
619.28680.53755.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ASML Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ASML Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ASML Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ASML Holding NV.

ASML Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASML Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASML Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASML Holding NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASML Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.99
σ
Overall volatility
103.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

ASML Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASML Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASML Holding NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASML Holding NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 14th of February 2024 ASML Holding paid $ 1.3425 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ASML Ascends But Remains Behind Market Some Facts to Note

ASML Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASML Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASML Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASML Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding394.1 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

ASML Holding Technical Analysis

ASML Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASML Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASML Holding NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASML Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ASML Holding Predictive Forecast Models

ASML Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASML Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASML Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ASML Holding NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASML Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASML Holding NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASML Holding NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 14th of February 2024 ASML Holding paid $ 1.3425 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ASML Ascends But Remains Behind Market Some Facts to Note
When determining whether ASML Holding NV is a strong investment it is important to analyze ASML Holding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ASML Holding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ASML Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running ASML Holding's price analysis, check to measure ASML Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASML Holding is operating at the current time. Most of ASML Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASML Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASML Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASML Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ASML Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ASML Holding. If investors know ASML will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ASML Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.131
Dividend Share
6.1
Earnings Share
21.66
Revenue Per Share
1.2597
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.125
The market value of ASML Holding NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ASML that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ASML Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ASML Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ASML Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ASML Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ASML Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ASML Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASML Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.