Austevoll Seafood (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 67.2

AUSS Stock  NOK 85.20  1.15  1.37%   
Austevoll Seafood's future price is the expected price of Austevoll Seafood instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Austevoll Seafood ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Austevoll Seafood Backtesting, Austevoll Seafood Valuation, Austevoll Seafood Correlation, Austevoll Seafood Hype Analysis, Austevoll Seafood Volatility, Austevoll Seafood History as well as Austevoll Seafood Performance.
  
Please specify Austevoll Seafood's target price for which you would like Austevoll Seafood odds to be computed.

Austevoll Seafood Target Price Odds to finish over 67.2

The tendency of Austevoll Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  67.20  in 90 days
 85.20 90 days 67.20 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Austevoll Seafood to stay above  67.20  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Austevoll Seafood ASA probability density function shows the probability of Austevoll Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Austevoll Seafood ASA price to stay between  67.20  and its current price of 85.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Austevoll Seafood has a beta of 0.0688. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Austevoll Seafood average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Austevoll Seafood ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Austevoll Seafood ASA has an alpha of 0.2708, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Austevoll Seafood Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Austevoll Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austevoll Seafood ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Austevoll Seafood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.4585.2086.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.6896.8298.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.3685.1186.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.1384.3585.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Austevoll Seafood. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Austevoll Seafood's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Austevoll Seafood's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Austevoll Seafood ASA.

Austevoll Seafood Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Austevoll Seafood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Austevoll Seafood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Austevoll Seafood ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Austevoll Seafood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.07
σ
Overall volatility
3.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Austevoll Seafood Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Austevoll Seafood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Austevoll Seafood ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Austevoll Seafood Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Austevoll Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Austevoll Seafood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Austevoll Seafood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.1 B

Austevoll Seafood Technical Analysis

Austevoll Seafood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Austevoll Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Austevoll Seafood ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Austevoll Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Austevoll Seafood Predictive Forecast Models

Austevoll Seafood's time-series forecasting models is one of many Austevoll Seafood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Austevoll Seafood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Austevoll Seafood ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Austevoll Seafood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Austevoll Seafood ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Austevoll Seafood Backtesting, Austevoll Seafood Valuation, Austevoll Seafood Correlation, Austevoll Seafood Hype Analysis, Austevoll Seafood Volatility, Austevoll Seafood History as well as Austevoll Seafood Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for Austevoll Stock analysis

When running Austevoll Seafood's price analysis, check to measure Austevoll Seafood's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Austevoll Seafood is operating at the current time. Most of Austevoll Seafood's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Austevoll Seafood's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Austevoll Seafood's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Austevoll Seafood to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Austevoll Seafood's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Austevoll Seafood is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Austevoll Seafood's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.