Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.17

AY Stock  USD 18.18  0.06  0.33%   
Atlantica Sustainable's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Atlantica Sustainable based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $17.5 is a CALL option contract on Atlantica Sustainable's common stock with a strick price of 17.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 10:51:41 for $1.0 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.85, and an ask price of $0.95. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 29.61. View All Atlantica options

Closest to current price Atlantica long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Atlantica Sustainable's future price is the expected price of Atlantica Sustainable instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atlantica Sustainable Backtesting, Atlantica Sustainable Valuation, Atlantica Sustainable Correlation, Atlantica Sustainable Hype Analysis, Atlantica Sustainable Volatility, Atlantica Sustainable History as well as Atlantica Sustainable Performance.
  
At this time, Atlantica Sustainable's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Sales Ratio is likely to rise to 3.18 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 1.30 in 2024. Please specify Atlantica Sustainable's target price for which you would like Atlantica Sustainable odds to be computed.

Atlantica Sustainable Target Price Odds to finish below 15.17

The tendency of Atlantica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.17  or more in 90 days
 18.18 90 days 15.17 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlantica Sustainable to drop to $ 15.17  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure probability density function shows the probability of Atlantica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlantica Sustainable price to stay between $ 15.17  and its current price of $18.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.3 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Atlantica Sustainable will likely underperform. Additionally Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Atlantica Sustainable Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atlantica Sustainable

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantica Sustainable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantica Sustainable's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5418.1219.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3622.2923.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.1518.7320.32
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.6626.0028.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atlantica Sustainable. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atlantica Sustainable's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atlantica Sustainable's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Atlantica Sustainable.

Atlantica Sustainable Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlantica Sustainable is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlantica Sustainable's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlantica Sustainable within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Atlantica Sustainable Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlantica Sustainable for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlantica Sustainable can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atlantica Sustainable generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atlantica Sustainable is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 22nd of March 2024 Atlantica Sustainable paid $ 0.445 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investorplace.com: Renewable Energy Bargains 3 Stocks to Snatch Up by April

Atlantica Sustainable Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atlantica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atlantica Sustainable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlantica Sustainable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding116.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments637.2 M

Atlantica Sustainable Technical Analysis

Atlantica Sustainable's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlantica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlantica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atlantica Sustainable Predictive Forecast Models

Atlantica Sustainable's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlantica Sustainable's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlantica Sustainable's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atlantica Sustainable

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlantica Sustainable for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlantica Sustainable help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atlantica Sustainable generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atlantica Sustainable is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 22nd of March 2024 Atlantica Sustainable paid $ 0.445 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investorplace.com: Renewable Energy Bargains 3 Stocks to Snatch Up by April
When determining whether Atlantica Sustainable offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Atlantica Sustainable's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure Stock:

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Is Atlantica Sustainable's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantica Sustainable. If investors know Atlantica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlantica Sustainable listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.224
Dividend Share
1.78
Earnings Share
0.37
Revenue Per Share
9.509
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.009
The market value of Atlantica Sustainable is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlantica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlantica Sustainable's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlantica Sustainable's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlantica Sustainable's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlantica Sustainable's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlantica Sustainable's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlantica Sustainable is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlantica Sustainable's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.