Bank Of China Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.55
| BACHF Stock | USD 0.41 0.01 2.38% |
Bank |
Bank of China Target Price Odds to finish below 0.55
The tendency of Bank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.55 after 90 days |
| 0.41 | 90 days | 0.55 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank of China to stay under $ 0.55 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bank of China probability density function shows the probability of Bank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank of China price to stay between its current price of $ 0.41 and $ 0.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bank of China has a beta of -0.0792 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank of China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank of China is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bank of China has an alpha of 0.2875, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bank of China Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank of China
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank of China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank of China Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank of China is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank of China's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank of China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank of China within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Bank of China Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank of China for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank of China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank of China has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Bank of China had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Bank of China has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bank of China has accumulated about 2.55 T in cash with (383.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Bank of China Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank of China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 294.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 70.2 B |
Bank of China Technical Analysis
Bank of China's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank of China. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank of China Predictive Forecast Models
Bank of China's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank of China's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank of China's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank of China
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank of China for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank of China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank of China has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Bank of China had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Bank of China has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bank of China has accumulated about 2.55 T in cash with (383.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Bank of China Backtesting, Bank of China Valuation, Bank of China Correlation, Bank of China Hype Analysis, Bank of China Volatility, Bank of China History as well as Bank of China Performance. Note that the Bank of China information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bank of China's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for Bank Pink Sheet analysis
When running Bank of China's price analysis, check to measure Bank of China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of China is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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