Bank Tabungan (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2250.0

BBTN Stock  IDR 1,590  30.00  1.92%   
Bank Tabungan's future price is the expected price of Bank Tabungan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank Tabungan Negara performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank Tabungan Backtesting, Bank Tabungan Valuation, Bank Tabungan Correlation, Bank Tabungan Hype Analysis, Bank Tabungan Volatility, Bank Tabungan History as well as Bank Tabungan Performance.
  
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Bank Tabungan Target Price Odds to finish over 2250.0

The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2,250  or more in 90 days
 1,590 90 days 2,250 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Tabungan to move over  2,250  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bank Tabungan Negara probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Tabungan Negara price to stay between its current price of  1,590  and  2,250  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Tabungan has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank Tabungan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Tabungan Negara will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Tabungan Negara has an alpha of 0.4537, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bank Tabungan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank Tabungan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Tabungan Negara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Tabungan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5871,5901,593
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4311,7201,723
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,7341,7371,739
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,5421,5701,598
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Tabungan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Tabungan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Tabungan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Tabungan Negara.

Bank Tabungan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Tabungan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Tabungan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Tabungan Negara, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Tabungan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.45
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.18
σ
Overall volatility
94.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Bank Tabungan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Tabungan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Tabungan Negara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Tabungan Negara has accumulated about 58.64 T in cash with (4.52 T) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bank Tabungan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Tabungan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Tabungan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.6 B

Bank Tabungan Technical Analysis

Bank Tabungan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Tabungan Negara. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank Tabungan Predictive Forecast Models

Bank Tabungan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Tabungan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Tabungan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank Tabungan Negara

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Tabungan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Tabungan Negara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Tabungan Negara has accumulated about 58.64 T in cash with (4.52 T) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Bank Tabungan Backtesting, Bank Tabungan Valuation, Bank Tabungan Correlation, Bank Tabungan Hype Analysis, Bank Tabungan Volatility, Bank Tabungan History as well as Bank Tabungan Performance.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis

When running Bank Tabungan's price analysis, check to measure Bank Tabungan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Tabungan is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Tabungan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Tabungan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Tabungan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Tabungan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Tabungan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Tabungan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Tabungan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.