Banco Bilbao (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.85

BBVA Stock  EUR 10.80  0.20  1.89%   
Banco Bilbao's future price is the expected price of Banco Bilbao instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banco Bilbao Backtesting, Banco Bilbao Valuation, Banco Bilbao Correlation, Banco Bilbao Hype Analysis, Banco Bilbao Volatility, Banco Bilbao History as well as Banco Bilbao Performance.
  
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Banco Bilbao Target Price Odds to finish over 5.85

The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 5.85  in 90 days
 10.80 90 days 5.85 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Bilbao to stay above € 5.85  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Banco Bilbao Vizcaya probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya price to stay between € 5.85  and its current price of €10.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco Bilbao has a beta of 0.61 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Banco Bilbao average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Banco Bilbao Vizcaya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Banco Bilbao Vizcaya has an alpha of 0.3591, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Banco Bilbao Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco Bilbao

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Bilbao Vizcaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Bilbao's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9910.8012.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.739.5411.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0210.8312.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.028.6410.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Bilbao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Bilbao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Bilbao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Bilbao Vizcaya.

Banco Bilbao Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Bilbao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Bilbao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Bilbao Vizcaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Bilbao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Banco Bilbao Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Bilbao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Bilbao Vizcaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya has accumulated about 123.9 B in cash with (1.24 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 18.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Banco Bilbao Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Bilbao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Bilbao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Short Term Investments59 B

Banco Bilbao Technical Analysis

Banco Bilbao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco Bilbao Predictive Forecast Models

Banco Bilbao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Bilbao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Bilbao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banco Bilbao Vizcaya

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Bilbao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Bilbao Vizcaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya has accumulated about 123.9 B in cash with (1.24 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 18.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Banco Bilbao Backtesting, Banco Bilbao Valuation, Banco Bilbao Correlation, Banco Bilbao Hype Analysis, Banco Bilbao Volatility, Banco Bilbao History as well as Banco Bilbao Performance.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Banco Stock analysis

When running Banco Bilbao's price analysis, check to measure Banco Bilbao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Bilbao is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Bilbao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Bilbao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Bilbao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Bilbao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Bilbao's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Bilbao is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Bilbao's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.