Saul Centers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.76
| BFS Stock | USD 36.24 0.16 0.44% |
Saul |
Saul Centers Target Price Odds to finish below 53.76
The tendency of Saul Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 53.76 after 90 days |
| 36.24 | 90 days | 53.76 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saul Centers to stay under $ 53.76 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Saul Centers probability density function shows the probability of Saul Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saul Centers price to stay between its current price of $ 36.24 and $ 53.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.14 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Saul Centers will likely underperform. Additionally Saul Centers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Saul Centers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Saul Centers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saul Centers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saul Centers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Saul Centers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saul Centers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saul Centers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saul Centers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saul Centers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Saul Centers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saul Centers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saul Centers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Saul Centers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: 10 Billionaires In MD Among Richest Americans New Forbes List |
Saul Centers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saul Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saul Centers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saul Centers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.4 M |
Saul Centers Technical Analysis
Saul Centers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saul Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saul Centers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saul Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saul Centers Predictive Forecast Models
Saul Centers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Saul Centers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saul Centers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saul Centers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saul Centers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saul Centers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Saul Centers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: 10 Billionaires In MD Among Richest Americans New Forbes List |
Check out Saul Centers Backtesting, Saul Centers Valuation, Saul Centers Correlation, Saul Centers Hype Analysis, Saul Centers Volatility, Saul Centers History as well as Saul Centers Performance. For more information on how to buy Saul Stock please use our How to Invest in Saul Centers guide.Note that the Saul Centers information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Saul Centers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Saul Stock analysis
When running Saul Centers' price analysis, check to measure Saul Centers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saul Centers is operating at the current time. Most of Saul Centers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saul Centers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saul Centers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saul Centers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio |
Is Saul Centers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Saul Centers. If investors know Saul will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Saul Centers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.145 | Dividend Share 2.36 | Earnings Share 1.73 | Revenue Per Share 10.694 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.07 |
The market value of Saul Centers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Saul that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Saul Centers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Saul Centers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Saul Centers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Saul Centers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Saul Centers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Saul Centers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saul Centers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.