CH HS (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.17
BGR Stock | EUR 0.08 0 1.89% |
BGR |
CH HS Target Price Odds to finish over 1.17
The tendency of BGR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1.17 or more in 90 days |
0.08 | 90 days | 1.17 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CH HS to move over 1.17 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CH HS TRANSMIS probability density function shows the probability of BGR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CH HS TRANSMIS price to stay between its current price of 0.08 and 1.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CH HS will likely underperform. Additionally CH HS TRANSMIS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CH HS Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for CH HS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CH HS TRANSMIS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CH HS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CH HS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CH HS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CH HS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CH HS TRANSMIS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CH HS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.87 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
CH HS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CH HS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CH HS TRANSMIS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.CH HS TRANSMIS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
CH HS TRANSMIS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
CH HS TRANSMIS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
CH HS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BGR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CH HS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CH HS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
Dividend Yield | 0.1538 | |
Short Term Investments | 3.5 B | |
Short Long Term Debt | 4 B |
CH HS Technical Analysis
CH HS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BGR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CH HS TRANSMIS. In general, you should focus on analyzing BGR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CH HS Predictive Forecast Models
CH HS's time-series forecasting models is one of many CH HS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CH HS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CH HS TRANSMIS
Checking the ongoing alerts about CH HS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CH HS TRANSMIS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CH HS TRANSMIS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
CH HS TRANSMIS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
CH HS TRANSMIS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Check out CH HS Backtesting, CH HS Valuation, CH HS Correlation, CH HS Hype Analysis, CH HS Volatility, CH HS History as well as CH HS Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for BGR Stock analysis
When running CH HS's price analysis, check to measure CH HS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CH HS is operating at the current time. Most of CH HS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CH HS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CH HS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CH HS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance |