Bharat Immunologicals (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 25.75

Bharat Immunologicals Biologicals Corp Ltd -- India Stock  

INR 22.50  0.60  2.60%

Bharat Immunologicals probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Bharat Immunologicals Biologicals Corp Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Bharat Immunologicals time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bharat Immunologicals odds to be computed. Check also Bharat Immunologicals Backtesting, Bharat Immunologicals Valuation, Bharat Immunologicals Correlation, Bharat Immunologicals Hype Analysis, Bharat Immunologicals Volatility, Bharat Immunologicals History as well as Bharat Immunologicals Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Bharat Immunologicals Target Price Odds to finish over 25.75

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 22.50 30 days 25.75  about 12.44% about 87.53%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Bharat Immunologicals to move over  25.75  or more in 30 days from now is about 12.44% (This Bharat Immunologicals Biologicals Corp Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Bharat Immunologicals Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Bharat Immunologicals price to stay between its current price of  22.50  and  25.75  at the end of the 30-day period is about 8.94%.
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Bharat Immunologicals has beta of 0.2764 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Bharat Immunologicals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Bharat Immunologicals Biologicals Corp Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bharat Immunologicals Biologicals Corp Ltd has an alpha of 0.3287901446 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3287901446% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
12.0%
Odds to move over  25.75  or more in 30 days
 Bharat Immunologicals Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.33
β
Beta against DOW=0.28
σ
Overall volatility
=9.03
Ir
Information ratio =0.15

Current Sentiment - BIBCL

Bharat Immunologicals Investor Sentiment
Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Bharat Immunologicals Biologicals Corp Ltd. What is your opinion about investing in Bharat Immunologicals Biologicals Corp Ltd? Are you bullish or bearish?
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2% Bearish
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Check also Bharat Immunologicals Backtesting, Bharat Immunologicals Valuation, Bharat Immunologicals Correlation, Bharat Immunologicals Hype Analysis, Bharat Immunologicals Volatility, Bharat Immunologicals History as well as Bharat Immunologicals Performance. Please also try Price Transformation module to use price transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.