Banco Comercial Portugus Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.29
| BPCGF Stock | USD 0.32 0.02 5.88% |
Banco |
Banco Comercial Target Price Odds to finish below 0.29
The tendency of Banco Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.29 or more in 90 days |
| 0.32 | 90 days | 0.29 | about 5.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Comercial to drop to $ 0.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.97 (This Banco Comercial Portugus probability density function shows the probability of Banco Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Comercial Portugus price to stay between $ 0.29 and its current price of $0.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Banco Comercial has a beta of 0.0413 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Banco Comercial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Banco Comercial Portugus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Banco Comercial Portugus has an alpha of 0.0994, implying that it can generate a 0.0994 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Banco Comercial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Banco Comercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Comercial Portugus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Comercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Banco Comercial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Comercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Comercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Comercial Portugus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Comercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Banco Comercial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Comercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Comercial Portugus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Banco Comercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Banco Comercial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Banco Comercial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Comercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Comercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 37 M | |
| Shares Float | 7.6 B |
Banco Comercial Technical Analysis
Banco Comercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Comercial Portugus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Banco Comercial Predictive Forecast Models
Banco Comercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Comercial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Comercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Banco Comercial Portugus
Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Comercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Comercial Portugus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Banco Comercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Banco Comercial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Banco Comercial Backtesting, Banco Comercial Valuation, Banco Comercial Correlation, Banco Comercial Hype Analysis, Banco Comercial Volatility, Banco Comercial History as well as Banco Comercial Performance. Note that the Banco Comercial Portugus information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Banco Comercial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Banco Pink Sheet analysis
When running Banco Comercial's price analysis, check to measure Banco Comercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Comercial is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Comercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Comercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Comercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Comercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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