Bank Of India (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1750.0

BSWD Stock  IDR 3,100  0.00  0.00%   
Bank Of India's future price is the expected price of Bank Of India instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank Of India performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank Of India Backtesting, Bank Of India Valuation, Bank Of India Correlation, Bank Of India Hype Analysis, Bank Of India Volatility, Bank Of India History as well as Bank Of India Performance.
  
Please specify Bank Of India's target price for which you would like Bank Of India odds to be computed.

Bank Of India Target Price Odds to finish over 1750.0

The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,750  in 90 days
 3,100 90 days 1,750 
about 59.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Of India to stay above  1,750  in 90 days from now is about 59.63 (This Bank Of India probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Of India price to stay between  1,750  and its current price of 3100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Of India has a beta of -0.27 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank Of India are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank Of India is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Bank Of India has an alpha of 1.4552, implying that it can generate a 1.46 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bank Of India Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank Of India

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Of India. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Of India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,0973,1003,103
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7903,4103,413
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Of India. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Of India's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Of India's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Of India.

Bank Of India Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Of India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Of India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Of India, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Of India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.46
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
603.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.40

Bank Of India Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Of India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Of India can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Of India appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Bank is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 103.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (44.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.75 B.
Bank Of India generates negative cash flow from operations
About 98.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bank Of India Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Of India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Of India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B

Bank Of India Technical Analysis

Bank Of India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Of India. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank Of India Predictive Forecast Models

Bank Of India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Of India's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Of India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank Of India

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Of India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Of India help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Of India appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Bank is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 103.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (44.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.75 B.
Bank Of India generates negative cash flow from operations
About 98.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Bank Of India Backtesting, Bank Of India Valuation, Bank Of India Correlation, Bank Of India Hype Analysis, Bank Of India Volatility, Bank Of India History as well as Bank Of India Performance.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis

When running Bank Of India's price analysis, check to measure Bank Of India's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Of India is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Of India's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Of India's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Of India's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Of India to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Of India's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Of India is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Of India's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.