Tao Heung (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.136

BVI Stock  EUR 0.07  0  1.36%   
Tao Heung's future price is the expected price of Tao Heung instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tao Heung Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tao Heung Backtesting, Tao Heung Valuation, Tao Heung Correlation, Tao Heung Hype Analysis, Tao Heung Volatility, Tao Heung History as well as Tao Heung Performance.
  
Please specify Tao Heung's target price for which you would like Tao Heung odds to be computed.

Tao Heung Target Price Odds to finish over 0.136

The tendency of Tao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.14  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.14 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tao Heung to move over € 0.14  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Tao Heung Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tao Heung Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 0.07  and € 0.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tao Heung Holdings has a beta of -0.79 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tao Heung are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tao Heung Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tao Heung Holdings has an alpha of 0.288, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tao Heung Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tao Heung

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tao Heung Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tao Heung's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.077.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.077.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.077.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.070.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tao Heung. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tao Heung's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tao Heung's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tao Heung Holdings.

Tao Heung Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tao Heung is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tao Heung's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tao Heung Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tao Heung within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Tao Heung Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tao Heung for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tao Heung Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tao Heung Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Tao Heung Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has €17.85 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company reported the revenue of 2.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (21.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 203.34 M.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Tao Heung Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tao Heung's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tao Heung's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Tao Heung Technical Analysis

Tao Heung's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tao Heung Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tao Heung Predictive Forecast Models

Tao Heung's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tao Heung's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tao Heung's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tao Heung Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tao Heung for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tao Heung Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tao Heung Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Tao Heung Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has €17.85 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company reported the revenue of 2.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (21.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 203.34 M.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Tao Heung Backtesting, Tao Heung Valuation, Tao Heung Correlation, Tao Heung Hype Analysis, Tao Heung Volatility, Tao Heung History as well as Tao Heung Performance.
You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running Tao Heung's price analysis, check to measure Tao Heung's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tao Heung is operating at the current time. Most of Tao Heung's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tao Heung's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tao Heung's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tao Heung to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tao Heung's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tao Heung is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tao Heung's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.