Bank Victoria (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 220.0
| BVIC Stock | IDR 80.00 3.00 3.90% |
Bank |
Bank Victoria Target Price Odds to finish below 220.0
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 220.00 after 90 days |
| 80.00 | 90 days | 220.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Victoria to stay under 220.00 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bank Victoria International probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Victoria Intern price to stay between its current price of 80.00 and 220.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Victoria has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank Victoria average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Victoria International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Victoria International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Bank Victoria Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Victoria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Victoria Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Victoria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank Victoria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Victoria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Victoria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Victoria International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Victoria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Bank Victoria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Victoria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Victoria Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank Victoria Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 514.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (119.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 313.04 B. | |
| Bank Victoria International has accumulated about 1.14 T in cash with (976.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.75. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bank Victoria Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Victoria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Victoria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.5 B |
Bank Victoria Technical Analysis
Bank Victoria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Victoria International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Victoria Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Victoria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Victoria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Victoria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank Victoria Intern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Victoria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Victoria Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank Victoria Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 514.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (119.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 313.04 B. | |
| Bank Victoria International has accumulated about 1.14 T in cash with (976.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.75. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Bank Victoria Backtesting, Bank Victoria Valuation, Bank Victoria Correlation, Bank Victoria Hype Analysis, Bank Victoria Volatility, Bank Victoria History as well as Bank Victoria Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis
When running Bank Victoria's price analysis, check to measure Bank Victoria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Victoria is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Victoria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Victoria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Victoria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Victoria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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