|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to stay above $ 64.73 in 30 days|
| 68.86 ||30 days|| 64.73 || CLOSE TO 99%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to stay above $ 64.73 in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between $ 64.73 and its current price of $68.86 at the end of the 30-day period is about 9.74%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Citigroup has beta of 0.4718 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Citigroup average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Citigroup will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citigroup has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
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