Citigroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 65.86

C -- USA Stock  

USD 69.21  0.63  0.90%

Citigroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Citigroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Citigroup time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Citigroup odds to be computed. Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish below 65.86

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 65.86  or more in 30 days
 69.21 30 days 65.86  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to drop to $ 65.86  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between $ 65.86  and its current price of $69.21 at the end of the 30-day period is about 8.38%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Citigroup has beta of 0.5347 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Citigroup average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Citigroup will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citigroup has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Citigroup Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.0096
β
Beta against DOW=0.53
σ
Overall volatility
=1.82
Ir
Information ratio =0.020832

Citigroup Alerts

Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions

Citigroup generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Citigroup has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported annual revenue of 64.84 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (6.75 B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.28 B.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by Druskin Robert of 12368 shares of Citigroup subject to Rule 16b-3

Price Density Drivers

Citigroup Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out0.73%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.28
Short Percent Of Float0.72%
Float Shares2.51B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day19.94M
Shares Short Prior Month16.48M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month14.55M
Date Short InterestSeptember 28, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.87%
Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance. Please also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
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