Citigroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 65.86

C -- USA Stock  

USD 69.22  0.23  0.33%

Citigroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Citigroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Citigroup time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Citigroup odds to be computed. Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish below 65.86

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 65.86  or more in 30 days
 69.22 30 days 65.86  ABOUT 8.07%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to drop to $ 65.86  or more in 30 days from now is about 8.07% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between $ 65.86  and its current price of $69.22 at the end of the 30-day period is about 81.01%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Citigroup has beta of 0.1621 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Citigroup average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Citigroup will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citigroup has an alpha of 0.1073 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1073% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Citigroup Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.11
β
Beta against DOW=0.16
σ
Overall volatility
=1.28
Ir
Information ratio =0.018235

Citigroup Alerts

Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions
The company reported annual revenue of 64.65 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (7.38 B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.28 B.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Citigroup exotic insider transaction detected
Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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