Citigroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 74.54

C -- USA Stock  

USD 74.15  0.31  0.42%

Citigroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Citigroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Citigroup time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Citigroup odds to be computed. Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish below 74.54

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 74.54  after 30 days
 74.15 30 days 74.54  ABOUT 98.0%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to stay under $ 74.54  after 30 days from now is about 98.0% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between its current price of $ 74.15  and $ 74.54  at the end of the 30-day period is about 1.55%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Citigroup has beta of 0.9275 . This suggests Citigroup market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Citigroup is expected to follow. Additionally Citigroup has an alpha of 0.0289 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0289% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Citigroup Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.028902
β
Beta against DOW=0.93
σ
Overall volatility
=1.43
Ir
Information ratio =0.015821

Citigroup Alerts

Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions

The company reported annual revenue of 64.84 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (6.75 B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.28 B.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On August 3, 2018 Citigroup paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 95882 shares by James Forese of Citigroup subject to Rule 16b-3

Price Density Drivers

Citigroup Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out0.65%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.28
Short Percent Of Float0.64%
Float Shares2.51B
Shares Short Prior Month19.54M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day15.55M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month14.71M
Date Short InterestAugust 31, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.73%
Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
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