Citigroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 74.98

C -- USA Stock  

USD 55.77  0.75  1.36%

Citigroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Citigroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Citigroup time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Citigroup odds to be computed. Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish below 74.98

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 74.98  after 30 days
 55.77 30 days 74.98  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to stay under $ 74.98  after 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between its current price of $ 55.77  and $ 74.98  at the end of the 30-day period is about 99.0%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1299 . This suggests Citigroup market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Citigroup is expected to follow. Additionally Citigroup has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Citigroup Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.3
β
Beta against DOW=1.13
σ
Overall volatility
=3.76
Ir
Information ratio =0.17

Citigroup Alerts

Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions

Citigroup generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company reported annual revenue of 65.05B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (6.26B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.28B.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Price Density Drivers

Citigroup Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out0.60%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.41
Short Percent Of Float0.57%
Float Shares2.44B
Shares Short Prior Month17.28M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day22.85M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month18.07M
Date Short InterestNovember 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.52%
Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance. Please also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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