Citigroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 74.98

C -- USA Stock  

USD 70.88  0.34  0.48%

Citigroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Citigroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Citigroup time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Citigroup odds to be computed. Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish below 74.98

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 74.98  after 30 days
 70.88 30 days 74.98  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to stay under $ 74.98  after 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between its current price of $ 70.88  and $ 74.98  at the end of the 30-day period is about 54.31%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Citigroup has beta of 0.014 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Citigroup average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Citigroup will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citigroup has an alpha of 0.0144 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0144% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Citigroup Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.014356
β
Beta against DOW=0.014
σ
Overall volatility
=0.88
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

Citigroup Alerts

Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions

The company reported annual revenue of 64.84 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (6.75 B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.28 B.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On August 3, 2018 Citigroup paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition or disposition of Citigroup securities by David George Al

Price Density Drivers

Citigroup Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out0.65%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.28
Short Percent Of Float0.64%
Float Shares2.51B
Shares Short Prior Month19.54M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day13.47M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month14.66M
Date Short InterestAugust 31, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.81%
Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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