|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to stay under $ 74.98 after 30 days|
| 70.88 ||30 days|| 74.98 || CLOSE TO 99%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to stay under $ 74.98 after 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between its current price of $ 70.88 and $ 74.98 at the end of the 30-day period is about 54.31%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Citigroup has beta of 0.014 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Citigroup average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Citigroup will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citigroup has an alpha of 0.0144 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0144% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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