Champion Bear Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.165

CBA Stock  CAD 0.07  0.01  6.25%   
Champion Bear's future price is the expected price of Champion Bear instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Champion Bear Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Champion Bear Backtesting, Champion Bear Valuation, Champion Bear Correlation, Champion Bear Hype Analysis, Champion Bear Volatility, Champion Bear History as well as Champion Bear Performance.
  
Please specify Champion Bear's target price for which you would like Champion Bear odds to be computed.

Champion Bear Target Price Odds to finish below 0.165

The tendency of Champion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under C$ 0.17  after 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Champion Bear to stay under C$ 0.17  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Champion Bear Resources probability density function shows the probability of Champion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Champion Bear Resources price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.07  and C$ 0.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Champion Bear Resources has a beta of -2.7 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Champion Bear Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Champion Bear is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.5887, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Champion Bear Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Champion Bear

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Champion Bear Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Champion Bear's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Champion Bear in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.089.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.079.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.089.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Champion Bear. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Champion Bear's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Champion Bear's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Champion Bear Resources.

Champion Bear Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Champion Bear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Champion Bear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Champion Bear Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Champion Bear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.59
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-2.7
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Champion Bear Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Champion Bear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Champion Bear Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Champion Bear is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Champion Bear has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Champion Bear appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Champion Bear has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 300.76 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Champion Bear Resources has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Champion Bear until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Champion Bear's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Champion Bear Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Champion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Champion Bear's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 75 K. Net Loss for the year was (236.38 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Champion Bear Resources has accumulated about 14.1 K in cash with (123.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 14.0% of Champion Bear shares are held by company insiders

Champion Bear Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Champion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Champion Bear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Champion Bear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.8 M

Champion Bear Technical Analysis

Champion Bear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Champion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Champion Bear Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Champion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Champion Bear Predictive Forecast Models

Champion Bear's time-series forecasting models is one of many Champion Bear's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Champion Bear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Champion Bear Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Champion Bear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Champion Bear Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Champion Bear is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Champion Bear has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Champion Bear appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Champion Bear has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 300.76 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Champion Bear Resources has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Champion Bear until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Champion Bear's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Champion Bear Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Champion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Champion Bear's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 75 K. Net Loss for the year was (236.38 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Champion Bear Resources has accumulated about 14.1 K in cash with (123.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 14.0% of Champion Bear shares are held by company insiders
Check out Champion Bear Backtesting, Champion Bear Valuation, Champion Bear Correlation, Champion Bear Hype Analysis, Champion Bear Volatility, Champion Bear History as well as Champion Bear Performance.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Champion Stock analysis

When running Champion Bear's price analysis, check to measure Champion Bear's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Champion Bear is operating at the current time. Most of Champion Bear's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Champion Bear's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Champion Bear's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Champion Bear to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Champion Bear's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Champion Bear is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Champion Bear's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.