Cadiz Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.95
| CDZI Stock | USD 2.15 0.10 4.44% |
Closest to current price Cadiz long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Cadiz |
Cadiz Target Price Odds to finish below 11.95
The tendency of Cadiz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.95 after 90 days |
| 2.15 | 90 days | 11.95 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cadiz to stay under $ 11.95 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cadiz Inc probability density function shows the probability of Cadiz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cadiz Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 2.15 and $ 11.95 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cadiz Inc has a beta of -0.4 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cadiz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cadiz Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cadiz Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Cadiz Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cadiz
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadiz Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cadiz's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cadiz Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cadiz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cadiz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cadiz Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cadiz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Cadiz Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cadiz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cadiz Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cadiz Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cadiz Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cadiz Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (566 K). | |
| Cadiz Inc currently holds about 6.96 M in cash with (20.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Cadiz Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Purchases Worth US547.1k See Losses As Cadiz Market Value Drops To US156m |
Cadiz Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cadiz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cadiz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadiz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Cadiz Technical Analysis
Cadiz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cadiz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cadiz Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cadiz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cadiz Predictive Forecast Models
Cadiz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cadiz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cadiz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cadiz Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cadiz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cadiz Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cadiz Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cadiz Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cadiz Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (566 K). | |
| Cadiz Inc currently holds about 6.96 M in cash with (20.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Cadiz Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Purchases Worth US547.1k See Losses As Cadiz Market Value Drops To US156m |
Check out Cadiz Backtesting, Cadiz Valuation, Cadiz Correlation, Cadiz Hype Analysis, Cadiz Volatility, Cadiz History as well as Cadiz Performance. Note that the Cadiz Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cadiz's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Cadiz Stock analysis
When running Cadiz's price analysis, check to measure Cadiz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadiz is operating at the current time. Most of Cadiz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadiz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadiz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadiz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cadiz's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cadiz. If investors know Cadiz will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cadiz listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.54) | Revenue Per Share 0.03 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.192 | Return On Assets (0.12) | Return On Equity (0.85) |
The market value of Cadiz Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cadiz that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cadiz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cadiz's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cadiz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cadiz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cadiz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cadiz is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cadiz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.