Calamos Global Total Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 14.17
| CGO Fund | USD 9.74 0.04 0.41% |
Calamos |
Calamos Global Target Price Odds to finish over 14.17
The tendency of Calamos Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 14.17 or more in 90 days |
| 9.74 | 90 days | 14.17 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Global to move over $ 14.17 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Calamos Global Total probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Global Total price to stay between its current price of $ 9.74 and $ 14.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.74 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the fund has the beta coefficient of 1.09 suggesting Calamos Global Total market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Calamos Global is expected to follow. Additionally Calamos Global Total has an alpha of 0.0713, implying that it can generate a 0.0713 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Calamos Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Calamos Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Global Total. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Calamos Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Calamos Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Global Total, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Calamos Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos Global Total can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Calamos Global Total Return Fund Shares Pass Above 50-Day Moving Average of 10.04 - Defense World | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% |
Calamos Global Technical Analysis
Calamos Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Global Total. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calamos Global Predictive Forecast Models
Calamos Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Calamos Global Total
Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos Global Total help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Calamos Global Total Return Fund Shares Pass Above 50-Day Moving Average of 10.04 - Defense World | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% |
Check out Calamos Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Global Correlation, Calamos Global Hype Analysis, Calamos Global Volatility, Calamos Global History as well as Calamos Global Performance. Note that the Calamos Global Total information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Calamos Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.