Cib Marine Bancshares Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.59
| CIBH Stock | USD 18.25 1.03 5.34% |
CIB |
CIB Marine Target Price Odds to finish below 1.59
The tendency of CIB OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.59 or more in 90 days |
| 18.25 | 90 days | 1.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CIB Marine to drop to $ 1.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CIB Marine Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of CIB OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CIB Marine Bancshares price to stay between $ 1.59 and its current price of $18.25 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CIB Marine has a beta of 0.0664 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CIB Marine average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CIB Marine Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CIB Marine Bancshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CIB Marine Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CIB Marine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CIB Marine Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CIB Marine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CIB Marine Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CIB Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CIB Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CIB Marine Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CIB Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
CIB Marine Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CIB Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CIB Marine Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CIB Marine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
CIB Marine Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CIB OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CIB Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CIB Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Long Term Debt | 5 M | |
| Shares Float | 840.8 K |
CIB Marine Technical Analysis
CIB Marine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIB OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CIB Marine Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIB OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CIB Marine Predictive Forecast Models
CIB Marine's time-series forecasting models is one of many CIB Marine's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CIB Marine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CIB Marine Bancshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about CIB Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CIB Marine Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CIB Marine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Check out CIB Marine Backtesting, CIB Marine Valuation, CIB Marine Correlation, CIB Marine Hype Analysis, CIB Marine Volatility, CIB Marine History as well as CIB Marine Performance. Note that the CIB Marine Bancshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CIB Marine's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for CIB OTC Stock analysis
When running CIB Marine's price analysis, check to measure CIB Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CIB Marine is operating at the current time. Most of CIB Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CIB Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CIB Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CIB Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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