Cinemark Holdings Probability of Target Price

Cinemark Holdings Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 36.03  0.01  0.03%

Cinemark Holdings probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Cinemark Holdings Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Cinemark Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Cinemark Holdings odds to be computed. Check also Cinemark Holdings Backtesting, Cinemark Holdings Valuation, Cinemark Holdings Correlation, Cinemark Holdings Hype Analysis, Cinemark Holdings Volatility, Cinemark Holdings History as well as Cinemark Holdings Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 36.03 30 days 37.68  under 4% roughly 97.0%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Cinemark Holdings to stay under $ 37.68  after 30 days from now is roughly 97.0%. Probability of Cinemark Holdings Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 36.03  and $ 37.68  at the end of the 30-day period is about 63.65%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.648 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Cinemark Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Cinemark Holdings Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
97.0%
Odds to stay under $ 37.68  after 30 days
 Cinemark Holdings Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=(0.14) 
βBeta against DOW= 1.65 
σ
Overall volatility
= 0.72 
 IrInformation ratio =(0.0403)