Cinemark Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.0

CNK Stock  USD 17.97  0.10  0.55%   
Cinemark Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Cinemark Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Cinemark Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Cinemark Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $18.0 is a CALL option contract on Cinemark Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 18.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 12:43:02 for $0.63 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $0.75. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 38.4. View All Cinemark options

Closest to current price Cinemark long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Cinemark Holdings' future price is the expected price of Cinemark Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cinemark Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cinemark Holdings Backtesting, Cinemark Holdings Valuation, Cinemark Holdings Correlation, Cinemark Holdings Hype Analysis, Cinemark Holdings Volatility, Cinemark Holdings History as well as Cinemark Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy Cinemark Stock please use our How to buy in Cinemark Stock guide.
  
At this time, Cinemark Holdings' Price Fair Value is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify Cinemark Holdings' target price for which you would like Cinemark Holdings odds to be computed.

Cinemark Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 40.0

The tendency of Cinemark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 40.00  or more in 90 days
 17.97 90 days 40.00 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cinemark Holdings to move over $ 40.00  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Cinemark Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Cinemark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cinemark Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 17.97  and $ 40.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.63 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cinemark Holdings has a beta of 0.96 suggesting Cinemark Holdings market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cinemark Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Cinemark Holdings has an alpha of 0.2257, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cinemark Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cinemark Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cinemark Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cinemark Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9417.8719.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5819.5121.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.7517.6719.60
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.4520.2722.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cinemark Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cinemark Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cinemark Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cinemark Holdings.

Cinemark Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cinemark Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cinemark Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cinemark Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cinemark Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.96
σ
Overall volatility
1.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Cinemark Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cinemark Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cinemark Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cinemark Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How Many Years Will SBF Get Jurys Out on Betting Platform Polymarket

Cinemark Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cinemark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cinemark Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cinemark Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152 M
Cash And Short Term Investments849.1 M

Cinemark Holdings Technical Analysis

Cinemark Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cinemark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cinemark Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cinemark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cinemark Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Cinemark Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cinemark Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cinemark Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cinemark Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cinemark Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cinemark Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cinemark Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How Many Years Will SBF Get Jurys Out on Betting Platform Polymarket
When determining whether Cinemark Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cinemark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock:
Check out Cinemark Holdings Backtesting, Cinemark Holdings Valuation, Cinemark Holdings Correlation, Cinemark Holdings Hype Analysis, Cinemark Holdings Volatility, Cinemark Holdings History as well as Cinemark Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy Cinemark Stock please use our How to buy in Cinemark Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Cinemark Stock analysis

When running Cinemark Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Cinemark Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cinemark Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Cinemark Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cinemark Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cinemark Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cinemark Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cinemark Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cinemark Holdings. If investors know Cinemark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cinemark Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Earnings Share
1.34
Revenue Per Share
25.749
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
0.0481
The market value of Cinemark Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cinemark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cinemark Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cinemark Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cinemark Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cinemark Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cinemark Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cinemark Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cinemark Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.