Columbia Sportswear Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 92.63
| COLM Stock | USD 79.78 0.79 1.00% |
Closest to current price Columbia long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Columbia |
Columbia Sportswear Target Price Odds to finish below 92.63
The tendency of Columbia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 92.63 after 90 days |
| 79.78 | 90 days | 92.63 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Sportswear to stay under $ 92.63 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Columbia Sportswear probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Sportswear price to stay between its current price of $ 79.78 and $ 92.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Columbia Sportswear will likely underperform. Additionally Columbia Sportswear has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Columbia Sportswear Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Columbia Sportswear
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Sportswear. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Sportswear's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Columbia Sportswear Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Sportswear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Sportswear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Sportswear, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Sportswear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Columbia Sportswear Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Sportswear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Sportswear can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Columbia Sportswear is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Columbia Sportswear has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 Columbia Sportswear paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Baird keeps Columbia Sportswear stock at neutral, wary of negative revisions to Q2 |
Columbia Sportswear Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Columbia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Columbia Sportswear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Columbia Sportswear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 764.5 M |
Columbia Sportswear Technical Analysis
Columbia Sportswear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Sportswear. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Sportswear Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Sportswear's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Sportswear's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Sportswear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Columbia Sportswear
Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Sportswear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Sportswear help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Columbia Sportswear is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Columbia Sportswear has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 Columbia Sportswear paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Baird keeps Columbia Sportswear stock at neutral, wary of negative revisions to Q2 |
Check out Columbia Sportswear Backtesting, Columbia Sportswear Valuation, Columbia Sportswear Correlation, Columbia Sportswear Hype Analysis, Columbia Sportswear Volatility, Columbia Sportswear History as well as Columbia Sportswear Performance. To learn how to invest in Columbia Stock, please use our How to Invest in Columbia Sportswear guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Columbia Stock analysis
When running Columbia Sportswear's price analysis, check to measure Columbia Sportswear's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Columbia Sportswear is operating at the current time. Most of Columbia Sportswear's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Columbia Sportswear's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Columbia Sportswear's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Columbia Sportswear to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Columbia Sportswear's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Columbia Sportswear. If investors know Columbia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Columbia Sportswear listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 4.09 | Revenue Per Share 56.951 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Columbia Sportswear is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Columbia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Columbia Sportswear's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Columbia Sportswear's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Columbia Sportswear's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Columbia Sportswear's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia Sportswear's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Columbia Sportswear is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia Sportswear's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.