Cra International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.56
| CRAI Stock | USD 143.44 2.04 1.44% |
Closest to current price CRA long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
CRA |
CRA International Target Price Odds to finish below 53.56
The tendency of CRA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 53.56 or more in 90 days |
| 143.44 | 90 days | 53.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CRA International to drop to $ 53.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CRA International probability density function shows the probability of CRA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CRA International price to stay between $ 53.56 and its current price of $143.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 suggesting CRA International market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CRA International is expected to follow. Additionally CRA International has an alpha of 0.3867, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CRA International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CRA International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CRA International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CRA International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CRA International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CRA International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CRA International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CRA International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CRA International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
CRA International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CRA International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CRA International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 CRA International paid $ 0.42 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Here is Why Growth Investors Should Buy CRA Now |
CRA International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CRA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CRA International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CRA International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.6 M |
CRA International Technical Analysis
CRA International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CRA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CRA International. In general, you should focus on analyzing CRA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CRA International Predictive Forecast Models
CRA International's time-series forecasting models is one of many CRA International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CRA International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CRA International
Checking the ongoing alerts about CRA International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CRA International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 CRA International paid $ 0.42 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Here is Why Growth Investors Should Buy CRA Now |
Check out CRA International Backtesting, CRA International Valuation, CRA International Correlation, CRA International Hype Analysis, CRA International Volatility, CRA International History as well as CRA International Performance. For more detail on how to invest in CRA Stock please use our How to Invest in CRA International guide.Note that the CRA International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CRA International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for CRA Stock analysis
When running CRA International's price analysis, check to measure CRA International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CRA International is operating at the current time. Most of CRA International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CRA International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CRA International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CRA International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CRA International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CRA International. If investors know CRA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CRA International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.36 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 5.39 | Revenue Per Share 89.038 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 |
The market value of CRA International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CRA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CRA International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CRA International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CRA International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CRA International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CRA International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CRA International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CRA International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.