Calavo Growers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 94.25
| CVGW Stock | USD 26.78 0.75 2.88% |
Closest to current price Calavo long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Calavo |
Calavo Growers Target Price Odds to finish over 94.25
The tendency of Calavo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 94.25 or more in 90 days |
| 26.78 | 90 days | 94.25 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calavo Growers to move over $ 94.25 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Calavo Growers probability density function shows the probability of Calavo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calavo Growers price to stay between its current price of $ 26.78 and $ 94.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.96 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.94 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Calavo Growers will likely underperform. Additionally Calavo Growers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Calavo Growers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Calavo Growers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calavo Growers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Calavo Growers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Calavo Growers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calavo Growers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calavo Growers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calavo Growers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calavo Growers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Calavo Growers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calavo Growers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calavo Growers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Calavo Growers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 971.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.84 M. | |
| Calavo Growers currently holds about 2.5 M in cash with (14.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14. | |
| Calavo Growers has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The past five years for Calavo Growers investors has not been profitable |
Calavo Growers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calavo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calavo Growers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calavo Growers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Calavo Growers Technical Analysis
Calavo Growers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calavo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calavo Growers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calavo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calavo Growers Predictive Forecast Models
Calavo Growers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Calavo Growers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calavo Growers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Calavo Growers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Calavo Growers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calavo Growers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Calavo Growers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 971.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.84 M. | |
| Calavo Growers currently holds about 2.5 M in cash with (14.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14. | |
| Calavo Growers has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The past five years for Calavo Growers investors has not been profitable |
Check out Calavo Growers Backtesting, Calavo Growers Valuation, Calavo Growers Correlation, Calavo Growers Hype Analysis, Calavo Growers Volatility, Calavo Growers History as well as Calavo Growers Performance. For more information on how to buy Calavo Stock please use our How to Invest in Calavo Growers guide.Note that the Calavo Growers information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Calavo Growers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Calavo Stock analysis
When running Calavo Growers' price analysis, check to measure Calavo Growers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calavo Growers is operating at the current time. Most of Calavo Growers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calavo Growers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calavo Growers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calavo Growers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Calavo Growers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Calavo Growers. If investors know Calavo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Calavo Growers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.286 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.58) | Revenue Per Share 54.371 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Calavo Growers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Calavo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Calavo Growers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Calavo Growers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Calavo Growers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Calavo Growers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Calavo Growers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Calavo Growers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Calavo Growers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.