Curtiss Wright Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 105.52

Curtiss Wright Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 120.18  2.13  1.74%

Curtiss Wright probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Curtiss Wright Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Curtiss Wright time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Curtiss Wright odds to be computed. Check also Curtiss Wright Backtesting, Curtiss Wright Valuation, Curtiss Wright Correlation, Curtiss Wright Hype Analysis, Curtiss Wright Volatility, Curtiss Wright History as well as Curtiss Wright Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Curtiss Wright Target Price Odds to finish below 105.52

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 120.18 30 days 105.52  close to 100% near 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Curtiss Wright to drop to $ 105.52  or more in 30 days from now is near 1%. Probability of Curtiss Wright price to stay between $ 105.52  and its current price of $120.18 at the end of the 30-day period is about 37.38%.
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0287 . This suggests Curtiss Wright Corporation market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Curtiss Wright is expected to follow. Additionally Curtiss Wright Corporation has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
< 1%
Odds to drop to $ 105.52  or more in 30 days
 Curtiss Wright Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.03
βBeta against DOW=1.03
σ
Overall volatility
=2.09
 IrInformation ratio =0.03