Curtiss Wright Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 116.39

CW Stock  USD 253.57  2.56  1.02%   
Curtiss Wright's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Curtiss Wright. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Curtiss Wright based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Curtiss Wright over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $250.0 is a CALL option contract on Curtiss Wright's common stock with a strick price of 250.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-19 at 09:55:41 for $2.5 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.0, and an ask price of $8.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 13.86. View All Curtiss options

Closest to current price Curtiss long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Curtiss Wright's future price is the expected price of Curtiss Wright instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Curtiss Wright performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Curtiss Wright Backtesting, Curtiss Wright Valuation, Curtiss Wright Correlation, Curtiss Wright Hype Analysis, Curtiss Wright Volatility, Curtiss Wright History as well as Curtiss Wright Performance.
For more information on how to buy Curtiss Stock please use our How to Invest in Curtiss Wright guide.
  
At this time, Curtiss Wright's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 3.85 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 12.20 in 2024. Please specify Curtiss Wright's target price for which you would like Curtiss Wright odds to be computed.

Curtiss Wright Target Price Odds to finish over 116.39

The tendency of Curtiss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 116.39  in 90 days
 253.57 90 days 116.39 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Curtiss Wright to stay above $ 116.39  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Curtiss Wright probability density function shows the probability of Curtiss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Curtiss-Wright price to stay between $ 116.39  and its current price of $253.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Curtiss Wright has a beta of 0.63 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Curtiss Wright average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Curtiss Wright will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Curtiss Wright has an alpha of 0.1373, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Curtiss Wright Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Curtiss Wright

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Curtiss-Wright. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Curtiss Wright's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
253.02253.90254.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
249.67250.55278.93
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
194.13213.33236.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.721.741.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Curtiss Wright. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Curtiss Wright's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Curtiss Wright's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Curtiss-Wright.

Curtiss Wright Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Curtiss Wright is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Curtiss Wright's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Curtiss Wright, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Curtiss Wright within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.63
σ
Overall volatility
10.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Curtiss Wright Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Curtiss Wright for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Curtiss-Wright can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Curtiss-Wright has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: Curtiss Wright exec sells 625,000 in company stock

Curtiss Wright Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Curtiss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Curtiss Wright's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Curtiss Wright's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments406.9 M

Curtiss Wright Technical Analysis

Curtiss Wright's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Curtiss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Curtiss Wright. In general, you should focus on analyzing Curtiss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Curtiss Wright Predictive Forecast Models

Curtiss Wright's time-series forecasting models is one of many Curtiss Wright's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Curtiss Wright's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Curtiss-Wright

Checking the ongoing alerts about Curtiss Wright for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Curtiss-Wright help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Curtiss-Wright has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: Curtiss Wright exec sells 625,000 in company stock
When determining whether Curtiss-Wright is a strong investment it is important to analyze Curtiss Wright's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Curtiss Wright's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Curtiss Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Curtiss Wright Backtesting, Curtiss Wright Valuation, Curtiss Wright Correlation, Curtiss Wright Hype Analysis, Curtiss Wright Volatility, Curtiss Wright History as well as Curtiss Wright Performance.
For more information on how to buy Curtiss Stock please use our How to Invest in Curtiss Wright guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running Curtiss Wright's price analysis, check to measure Curtiss Wright's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Curtiss Wright is operating at the current time. Most of Curtiss Wright's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Curtiss Wright's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Curtiss Wright's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Curtiss Wright to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Curtiss Wright's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Curtiss Wright. If investors know Curtiss will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Curtiss Wright listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.099
Dividend Share
0.79
Earnings Share
9.19
Revenue Per Share
74.325
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
The market value of Curtiss-Wright is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Curtiss that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Curtiss Wright's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Curtiss Wright's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Curtiss Wright's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Curtiss Wright's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Curtiss Wright's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Curtiss Wright is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Curtiss Wright's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.