Deutsche Bank Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 16.79

DB -- USA Stock  

USD 11.95  0.30  2.45%

Deutsche Bank probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Deutsche Bank time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Deutsche Bank odds to be computed. Additionally see Deutsche Bank Backtesting, Deutsche Bank Valuation, Deutsche Bank Correlation, Deutsche Bank Hype Analysis, Deutsche Bank Volatility, Deutsche Bank History as well as Deutsche Bank Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Deutsche Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 16.79

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.79  or more in 30 days
 11.95 30 days 16.79  CLOSE TO ZERO PERCENT
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Bank to move over $ 16.79  or more in 30 days from now is close to zero percent (This Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Deutsche Bank Aktien price to stay between its current price of $ 11.95  and $ 16.79  at the end of the 30-day period is under 4%.
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, Deutsche Bank has beta of 0.5049 suggesting as returns on market go up, Deutsche Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft has an alpha of 0.1908 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1908% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Deutsche Bank Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=0.50
σ
Overall volatility
=0.26
Ir
Information ratio =0.07

Deutsche Bank Alerts

Deutsche Bank Alerts and Suggestions

The company generated yearly revenue of 29.82 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.85 B) with gross profit of 25.93 B.
DEUTSCHE BANK AG reports about 925.27 B in cash with (21.49 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 449.18 which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from globalexportlines.com: Holding Stocks PulteGroup, Inc., , Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft,

Price Density Drivers

Deutsche Bank Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out4.09%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.13
Float Shares1.85B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.91M
Shares Short Prior Month74.09M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.16M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.13%
Additionally see Deutsche Bank Backtesting, Deutsche Bank Valuation, Deutsche Bank Correlation, Deutsche Bank Hype Analysis, Deutsche Bank Volatility, Deutsche Bank History as well as Deutsche Bank Performance. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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