Invesco Db Energy Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 12.11

DBE Etf  USD 20.58  0.03  0.15%   
Invesco DB's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Invesco DB Energy. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Invesco DB based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Invesco DB Energy over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $20.0 is a CALL option contract on Invesco DB's common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 31 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.35, and an ask price of $1.05. The implied volatility as of the 19th of March is 28.16. View All Invesco options

Closest to current price Invesco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Invesco DB's future price is the expected price of Invesco DB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco DB Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco DB Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco DB Correlation, Invesco DB Hype Analysis, Invesco DB Volatility, Invesco DB History as well as Invesco DB Performance.
  
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Invesco DB Target Price Odds to finish below 12.11

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.11  or more in 90 days
 20.58 90 days 12.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco DB to drop to $ 12.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco DB Energy probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco DB Energy price to stay between $ 12.11  and its current price of $20.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco DB Energy has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Invesco DB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Invesco DB Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.116, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco DB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco DB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco DB Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco DB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Invesco DB in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.4720.5821.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6718.7822.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.5920.7121.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6220.1820.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco DB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco DB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco DB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco DB Energy.

Invesco DB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco DB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco DB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco DB Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco DB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Invesco DB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco DB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco DB Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why U.S. LNG Exports Are Surging - Seeking Alpha
The fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0%
Invesco DB Energy retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Invesco DB Technical Analysis

Invesco DB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco DB Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco DB Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco DB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco DB's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco DB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco DB Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco DB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco DB Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why U.S. LNG Exports Are Surging - Seeking Alpha
The fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0%
Invesco DB Energy retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.
When determining whether Invesco DB Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Invesco DB's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Invesco DB's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Invesco Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Invesco DB Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco DB Correlation, Invesco DB Hype Analysis, Invesco DB Volatility, Invesco DB History as well as Invesco DB Performance.
Note that the Invesco DB Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco DB's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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When running Invesco DB's price analysis, check to measure Invesco DB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco DB is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco DB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco DB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco DB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco DB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Invesco DB Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco DB's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco DB's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco DB's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco DB's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco DB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco DB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco DB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.