Dime Community Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.32
| DCOM Stock | USD 17.83 0.10 0.56% |
Closest to current price Dime long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Dime |
Dime Community Target Price Odds to finish over 20.32
The tendency of Dime Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.32 or more in 90 days |
| 17.83 | 90 days | 20.32 | about 37.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dime Community to move over $ 20.32 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.64 (This Dime Community Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Dime Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dime Community Bancshares price to stay between its current price of $ 17.83 and $ 20.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.97 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dime Community will likely underperform. Additionally Dime Community Bancshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Dime Community Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dime Community
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dime Community Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dime Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dime Community Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dime Community is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dime Community's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dime Community Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dime Community within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Dime Community Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dime Community for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dime Community Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dime Community generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dime Community has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Seacoast Banking Earnings Expected to Grow What to Know Ahead of Next Weeks Release |
Dime Community Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dime Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dime Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dime Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Dime Community Technical Analysis
Dime Community's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dime Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dime Community Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dime Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dime Community Predictive Forecast Models
Dime Community's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dime Community's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dime Community's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dime Community Bancshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dime Community for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dime Community Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dime Community generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dime Community has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Seacoast Banking Earnings Expected to Grow What to Know Ahead of Next Weeks Release |
Check out Dime Community Backtesting, Dime Community Valuation, Dime Community Correlation, Dime Community Hype Analysis, Dime Community Volatility, Dime Community History as well as Dime Community Performance. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Dime Stock analysis
When running Dime Community's price analysis, check to measure Dime Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dime Community is operating at the current time. Most of Dime Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dime Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dime Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dime Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dime Community's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dime Community. If investors know Dime will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dime Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Dividend Share 0.99 | Earnings Share 2.29 | Revenue Per Share 9.165 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) |
The market value of Dime Community Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dime that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dime Community's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dime Community's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dime Community's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dime Community's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dime Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dime Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dime Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.