Intiland Development (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 294.0
| DILD Stock | IDR 193.00 2.00 1.03% |
Intiland |
Intiland Development Target Price Odds to finish over 294.0
The tendency of Intiland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 294.00 or more in 90 days |
| 193.00 | 90 days | 294.00 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intiland Development to move over 294.00 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Intiland Development Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Intiland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intiland Development Tbk price to stay between its current price of 193.00 and 294.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intiland Development Tbk has a beta of -0.29 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intiland Development are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intiland Development Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intiland Development Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Intiland Development Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intiland Development
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intiland Development Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intiland Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intiland Development Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intiland Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intiland Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intiland Development Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intiland Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Intiland Development Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intiland Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intiland Development Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Intiland Development Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intiland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intiland Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intiland Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 T |
Intiland Development Technical Analysis
Intiland Development's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intiland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intiland Development Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intiland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intiland Development Predictive Forecast Models
Intiland Development's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intiland Development's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intiland Development's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intiland Development Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intiland Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intiland Development Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Intiland Development Backtesting, Intiland Development Valuation, Intiland Development Correlation, Intiland Development Hype Analysis, Intiland Development Volatility, Intiland Development History as well as Intiland Development Performance. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Intiland Stock analysis
When running Intiland Development's price analysis, check to measure Intiland Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intiland Development is operating at the current time. Most of Intiland Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intiland Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intiland Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intiland Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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