Dicks Sporting Goods Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.47

DKS Stock  USD 222.59  5.15  2.37%   
Dicks Sporting's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Dicks Sporting Goods. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Dicks Sporting based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Dicks Sporting Goods over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $222.5 is a CALL option contract on Dicks Sporting's common stock with a strick price of 222.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:57:44 for $1.72 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.55, and an ask price of $1.8. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 36.07. View All Dicks options

Closest to current price Dicks long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Dicks Sporting's future price is the expected price of Dicks Sporting instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dicks Sporting Goods performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dicks Sporting Backtesting, Dicks Sporting Valuation, Dicks Sporting Correlation, Dicks Sporting Hype Analysis, Dicks Sporting Volatility, Dicks Sporting History as well as Dicks Sporting Performance.
  
At this time, Dicks Sporting's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is likely to gain to 10.18 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 10.70 in 2024. Please specify Dicks Sporting's target price for which you would like Dicks Sporting odds to be computed.

Dicks Sporting Target Price Odds to finish below 49.47

The tendency of Dicks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 49.47  or more in 90 days
 222.59 90 days 49.47 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dicks Sporting to drop to $ 49.47  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dicks Sporting Goods probability density function shows the probability of Dicks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dicks Sporting Goods price to stay between $ 49.47  and its current price of $222.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dicks Sporting has a beta of 0.75 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dicks Sporting average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dicks Sporting Goods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dicks Sporting Goods has an alpha of 0.5561, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dicks Sporting Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dicks Sporting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dicks Sporting Goods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dicks Sporting's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
222.36224.79227.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
183.88186.31244.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
222.47224.90227.34
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
121.49133.50148.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dicks Sporting. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dicks Sporting's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dicks Sporting's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dicks Sporting Goods.

Dicks Sporting Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dicks Sporting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dicks Sporting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dicks Sporting Goods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dicks Sporting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.56
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.75
σ
Overall volatility
25.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Dicks Sporting Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dicks Sporting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dicks Sporting Goods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dicks Sporting Goods has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT Pomerantz Law Firm Announces the Filing of a Class Action Against Dicks Sporting Goods, Inc. - DKS

Dicks Sporting Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dicks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dicks Sporting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dicks Sporting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Dicks Sporting Technical Analysis

Dicks Sporting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dicks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dicks Sporting Goods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dicks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dicks Sporting Predictive Forecast Models

Dicks Sporting's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dicks Sporting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dicks Sporting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dicks Sporting Goods

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dicks Sporting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dicks Sporting Goods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dicks Sporting Goods has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT Pomerantz Law Firm Announces the Filing of a Class Action Against Dicks Sporting Goods, Inc. - DKS
When determining whether Dicks Sporting Goods is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dicks Sporting's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dicks Sporting's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dicks Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Dicks Stock analysis

When running Dicks Sporting's price analysis, check to measure Dicks Sporting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dicks Sporting is operating at the current time. Most of Dicks Sporting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dicks Sporting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dicks Sporting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dicks Sporting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Is Dicks Sporting's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dicks Sporting. If investors know Dicks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dicks Sporting listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.371
Dividend Share
4
Earnings Share
11.23
Revenue Per Share
157.765
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
The market value of Dicks Sporting Goods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dicks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dicks Sporting's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dicks Sporting's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dicks Sporting's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dicks Sporting's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dicks Sporting's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dicks Sporting is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dicks Sporting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.