Deutsche Lufthansa Ag Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 27.77
| DLAKF Stock | USD 6.79 0.31 4.37% |
Deutsche |
Deutsche Lufthansa Target Price Odds to finish below 27.77
The tendency of Deutsche OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 27.77 after 90 days |
| 6.79 | 90 days | 27.77 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Lufthansa to stay under $ 27.77 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Deutsche Lufthansa AG probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Lufthansa price to stay between its current price of $ 6.79 and $ 27.77 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Lufthansa has a beta of 0.0152 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Lufthansa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Lufthansa AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Lufthansa AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Deutsche Lufthansa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deutsche Lufthansa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Lufthansa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deutsche Lufthansa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Deutsche Lufthansa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Lufthansa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Lufthansa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Lufthansa AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Lufthansa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Deutsche Lufthansa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Lufthansa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Lufthansa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deutsche Lufthansa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 13.08 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.98, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Deutsche Lufthansa has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Deutsche Lufthansa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Deutsche Lufthansa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Deutsche Lufthansa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Deutsche to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Deutsche Lufthansa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 16.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.19 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.26 B. | |
| About 17.0% of Deutsche Lufthansa shares are held by company insiders |
Deutsche Lufthansa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deutsche OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deutsche Lufthansa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Lufthansa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Deutsche Lufthansa Technical Analysis
Deutsche Lufthansa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Lufthansa AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deutsche Lufthansa Predictive Forecast Models
Deutsche Lufthansa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Lufthansa's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Lufthansa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deutsche Lufthansa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Lufthansa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Lufthansa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deutsche Lufthansa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 13.08 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.98, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Deutsche Lufthansa has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Deutsche Lufthansa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Deutsche Lufthansa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Deutsche Lufthansa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Deutsche to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Deutsche Lufthansa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 16.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.19 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.26 B. | |
| About 17.0% of Deutsche Lufthansa shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Deutsche Lufthansa Backtesting, Deutsche Lufthansa Valuation, Deutsche Lufthansa Correlation, Deutsche Lufthansa Hype Analysis, Deutsche Lufthansa Volatility, Deutsche Lufthansa History as well as Deutsche Lufthansa Performance. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Deutsche OTC Stock analysis
When running Deutsche Lufthansa's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Lufthansa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Lufthansa is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Lufthansa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Lufthansa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Lufthansa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Lufthansa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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