Digital Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 106.82

DLR Stock  USD 144.04  0.30  0.21%   
Digital Realty's future price is the expected price of Digital Realty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Digital Realty Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Digital Realty Backtesting, Digital Realty Valuation, Digital Realty Correlation, Digital Realty Hype Analysis, Digital Realty Volatility, Digital Realty History as well as Digital Realty Performance.
  
Please specify Digital Realty's target price for which you would like Digital Realty odds to be computed.

Digital Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 106.82

The tendency of Digital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 106.82  or more in 90 days
 144.04 90 days 106.82 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Digital Realty to drop to $ 106.82  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Digital Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Digital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Digital Realty Trust price to stay between $ 106.82  and its current price of $144.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Digital Realty will likely underperform. Additionally Digital Realty Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Digital Realty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Digital Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digital Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Digital Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
142.07144.04146.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
140.58142.55144.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
134.89136.86138.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
134.84143.43152.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Digital Realty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Digital Realty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Digital Realty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Digital Realty Trust.

Digital Realty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Digital Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Digital Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Digital Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Digital Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.60
σ
Overall volatility
5.27
Ir
Information ratio 0

Digital Realty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Digital Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Digital Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 18.97 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.9, which is OK given its current industry classification. Digital Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.7, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Digital Realty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Digital Realty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Digital Realty Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Digital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Digital Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 100.0% of Digital Realty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of March 2024 Digital Realty paid $ 1.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Digital Realty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Digital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Digital Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digital Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding309.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Digital Realty Technical Analysis

Digital Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Digital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Digital Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Digital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Digital Realty Predictive Forecast Models

Digital Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Digital Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Digital Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Digital Realty Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Digital Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Digital Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 18.97 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.9, which is OK given its current industry classification. Digital Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.7, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Digital Realty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Digital Realty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Digital Realty Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Digital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Digital Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 100.0% of Digital Realty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of March 2024 Digital Realty paid $ 1.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
When determining whether Digital Realty Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Digital Realty's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Digital Realty's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Digital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Digital Realty Backtesting, Digital Realty Valuation, Digital Realty Correlation, Digital Realty Hype Analysis, Digital Realty Volatility, Digital Realty History as well as Digital Realty Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

Complementary Tools for Digital Stock analysis

When running Digital Realty's price analysis, check to measure Digital Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Digital Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Digital Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Digital Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Digital Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Digital Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Digital Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Digital Realty. If investors know Digital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Digital Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Digital Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Digital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Digital Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Digital Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Digital Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Digital Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Digital Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Digital Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Digital Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.