Deluxe Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 56.2
| DLX Stock | USD 19.82 0.11 0.56% |
Closest to current price Deluxe long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Deluxe |
Deluxe Target Price Odds to finish over 56.2
The tendency of Deluxe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 56.20 or more in 90 days |
| 19.82 | 90 days | 56.20 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deluxe to move over $ 56.20 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Deluxe probability density function shows the probability of Deluxe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deluxe price to stay between its current price of $ 19.82 and $ 56.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.86 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.37 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Deluxe will likely underperform. Additionally Deluxe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Deluxe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deluxe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deluxe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deluxe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Deluxe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deluxe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deluxe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deluxe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deluxe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Deluxe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deluxe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deluxe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 1.65 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.92, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Deluxe has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Deluxe until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Deluxe's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Deluxe sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Deluxe to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Deluxe's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 89.0% of Deluxe shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 4th of March 2024 Deluxe paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Its Unlikely That Deluxe Corporations CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year |
Deluxe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deluxe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deluxe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deluxe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72 M |
Deluxe Technical Analysis
Deluxe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deluxe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deluxe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deluxe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deluxe Predictive Forecast Models
Deluxe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deluxe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deluxe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deluxe
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deluxe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deluxe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 1.65 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.92, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Deluxe has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Deluxe until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Deluxe's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Deluxe sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Deluxe to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Deluxe's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 89.0% of Deluxe shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 4th of March 2024 Deluxe paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Its Unlikely That Deluxe Corporations CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year |
Check out Deluxe Backtesting, Deluxe Valuation, Deluxe Correlation, Deluxe Hype Analysis, Deluxe Volatility, Deluxe History as well as Deluxe Performance. For more information on how to buy Deluxe Stock please use our How to Invest in Deluxe guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
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When running Deluxe's price analysis, check to measure Deluxe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deluxe is operating at the current time. Most of Deluxe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deluxe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deluxe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deluxe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Deluxe's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deluxe. If investors know Deluxe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deluxe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 0.59 | Revenue Per Share 50.335 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Deluxe is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deluxe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deluxe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deluxe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deluxe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deluxe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deluxe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deluxe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deluxe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.