Dell Technologies Probability of Target Price

Dell Technologies Inc Class V -- USA Stock  

USD 80.99  0.11  0.14%

Dell Technologies probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Dell Technologies Inc Class V performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Dell Technologies time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Dell Technologies odds to be computed. Additionally see Dell Technologies Backtesting, Dell Technologies Valuation, Dell Technologies Correlation, Dell Technologies Hype Analysis, Dell Technologies Volatility, Dell Technologies History as well as Dell Technologies Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 80.99 30 days 78.22  about 50.08% about 49.4%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Dell Technologies to drop to $ 78.22  or more in 30 days from now is about 49.4%. Probability of Dell Technologies C price to stay between $ 78.22  and its current price of $80.99 at the end of the 30-day period is about 45.89%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.2563 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Dell Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Dell Technologies Inc Class V has an alpha of 0.0747 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0747% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
49.0%
Odds to drop to $ 78.22  or more in 30 days
 Dell Technologies Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
= 0.0747 
βBeta against DOW= 1.26 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.6 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.18