Ellomay Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.56
| ELLO Stock | USD 14.92 0.41 2.83% |
Ellomay |
Ellomay Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 8.56
The tendency of Ellomay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 8.56 in 90 days |
| 14.92 | 90 days | 8.56 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ellomay Capital to stay above $ 8.56 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ellomay Capital probability density function shows the probability of Ellomay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ellomay Capital price to stay between $ 8.56 and its current price of $14.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ellomay Capital has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ellomay Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ellomay Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ellomay Capital has an alpha of 0.0229, implying that it can generate a 0.0229 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ellomay Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ellomay Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ellomay Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ellomay Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ellomay Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ellomay Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ellomay Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ellomay Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ellomay Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0024 |
Ellomay Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ellomay Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ellomay Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ellomay Capital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 443.08 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ellomay Capital has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Ellomay Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ellomay Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ellomay Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ellomay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ellomay Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 48.0% of Ellomay Capital shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: WAVE, ELLO, and NRGV are among utility movers |
Ellomay Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ellomay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ellomay Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ellomay Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.5 M |
Ellomay Capital Technical Analysis
Ellomay Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ellomay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ellomay Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ellomay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ellomay Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Ellomay Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ellomay Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ellomay Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ellomay Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ellomay Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ellomay Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ellomay Capital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 443.08 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ellomay Capital has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Ellomay Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ellomay Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ellomay Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ellomay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ellomay Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 48.0% of Ellomay Capital shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: WAVE, ELLO, and NRGV are among utility movers |
Check out Ellomay Capital Backtesting, Ellomay Capital Valuation, Ellomay Capital Correlation, Ellomay Capital Hype Analysis, Ellomay Capital Volatility, Ellomay Capital History as well as Ellomay Capital Performance. To learn how to invest in Ellomay Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ellomay Capital guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
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When running Ellomay Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ellomay Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ellomay Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ellomay Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ellomay Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ellomay Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ellomay Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ellomay Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellomay Capital. If investors know Ellomay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ellomay Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Earnings Share 1.16 | Revenue Per Share 3.741 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.0002 |
The market value of Ellomay Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ellomay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ellomay Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ellomay Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ellomay Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ellomay Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ellomay Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ellomay Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ellomay Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.