Embassy Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 18.51

EMYB Stock  USD 13.75  0.05  0.36%   
Embassy Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Embassy Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Embassy Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Embassy Bancorp Backtesting, Embassy Bancorp Valuation, Embassy Bancorp Correlation, Embassy Bancorp Hype Analysis, Embassy Bancorp Volatility, Embassy Bancorp History as well as Embassy Bancorp Performance.
  
Please specify Embassy Bancorp's target price for which you would like Embassy Bancorp odds to be computed.

Embassy Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 18.51

The tendency of Embassy OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.51  or more in 90 days
 13.75 90 days 18.51 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Embassy Bancorp to move over $ 18.51  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Embassy Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Embassy OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Embassy Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 13.75  and $ 18.51  at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Embassy Bancorp has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Embassy Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Embassy Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Embassy Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Embassy Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Embassy Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Embassy Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Embassy Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1113.7514.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2712.9115.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.0913.7214.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.6713.7213.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Embassy Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Embassy Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Embassy Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Embassy Bancorp.

Embassy Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Embassy Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Embassy Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Embassy Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Embassy Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.37

Embassy Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Embassy Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Embassy Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Embassy Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Embassy Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Embassy OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Embassy Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Embassy Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments169.7 M

Embassy Bancorp Technical Analysis

Embassy Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Embassy OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Embassy Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Embassy OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Embassy Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Embassy Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Embassy Bancorp's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Embassy Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Embassy Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Embassy Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Embassy Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Embassy Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Embassy Bancorp Backtesting, Embassy Bancorp Valuation, Embassy Bancorp Correlation, Embassy Bancorp Hype Analysis, Embassy Bancorp Volatility, Embassy Bancorp History as well as Embassy Bancorp Performance.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Embassy OTC Stock analysis

When running Embassy Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Embassy Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Embassy Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Embassy Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Embassy Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Embassy Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Embassy Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Embassy Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Embassy Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Embassy Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.